Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.148062 0.158796 0.170047 0.182744 0.196701 0.211606 0.228768
2025-08-17 0.125491 0.141095 0.158493 0.179445 0.204142 0.232518 0.267857
2025-08-24 0.110344 0.128490 0.149686 0.176524 0.209967 0.250757 0.305041
2025-08-31 0.099285 0.118810 0.142465 0.173649 0.214317 0.266475 0.339983
2025-09-07 0.092552 0.113378 0.139418 0.174989 0.223312 0.288207 0.384729
2025-09-14 0.084693 0.105659 0.132531 0.170287 0.223301 0.297243 0.412316
2025-09-21 0.077366 0.097967 0.124915 0.163680 0.219646 0.300278 0.430820
2025-09-28 0.072080 0.092552 0.119848 0.159996 0.219526 0.308038 0.457046
2025-10-05 0.069904 0.091140 0.120058 0.163662 0.230294 0.333008 0.513997
2025-10-12 0.067574 0.089317 0.119495 0.166041 0.239172 0.355779 0.570394
2025-10-19 0.064580 0.086350 0.117055 0.165335 0.243033 0.370636 0.614774
2025-10-26 0.061960 0.083749 0.114949 0.164918 0.247206 0.386286 0.662779
2025-11-02 0.059086 0.080691 0.112082 0.163253 0.249430 0.399264 0.708796
2025-11-09 0.055730 0.076770 0.107716 0.158927 0.246843 0.403495 0.738234
2025-11-16 0.052988 0.073627 0.104358 0.155989 0.246373 0.411534 0.777115
2025-11-23 0.050554 0.070823 0.101356 0.153405 0.246252 0.420131 0.818665
2025-11-30 0.049153 0.069515 0.100604 0.154503 0.252805 0.442352 0.895504
2025-12-07 0.046740 0.066527 0.097015 0.150489 0.249513 0.444373 0.924319
2025-12-14 0.044147 0.063152 0.092648 0.144853 0.242705 0.438414 0.932210
2025-12-21 0.042236 0.060775 0.089792 0.141708 0.240426 0.441748 0.964760
2025-12-28 0.041699 0.060551 0.090446 0.144837 0.250621 0.473112 1.078957
2026-01-04 0.040975 0.059989 0.090500 0.146865 0.258787 0.501037 1.190794
2026-01-11 0.039805 0.058652 0.089179 0.146264 0.261508 0.516806 1.270914